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Notes Introduction 1 . “High-Frequency Trading,” N ew York Times , October 10, 2011. 2 . Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) at www.sec.gov/answers/ pumpdump.htm. 1 Options: Trading Basics 1 . In future references to underlying stock, the term “underlying” will be used by itself as a noun, conforming to the industry usage (or jargon). When the term refers to price, that will be specified. 2 Swing Trading: The Basics 1 . Josef Lakonishok, Andrei Shleifer, and Robert W. Vishny, “The impact of institutional trading on stock prices,” Journal of Financial Economics 31(1992), 42. 2 . Thomas Bulkowski, Encyclopedia of Candlestick Charts (Hoboken, NJ: Wiley, 2008). This book is the result of the author’s study of thousands of candlestick trades, and Bulkowski concludes that the engulfing pat- tern is highly reliable. The bear engulfing pattern leads to reversal 79% of the time, and the bull engulfing pattern leads to reversal 63% of the time. Two additional signals of exceptional reliability are the bullish three white soldiers (82%) and the bearish three black crows (78%). Less reli- able signals approximating fifty-fifty reliability include the bull and bear harami (both leading to reversal only 53% of the time) and the grave- stone, dragonfly, and long-legged doji (51% average). Source: http://www. thepatternsite.com. 7 Powerful Timing Tools: Expanding Swing Signals with Candlestick Reversals 1 . J e f f A u g e n , Trading Options at Expiration: Strategies and Models for Winning the Endgame (Upper Saddle River, NJ: FT Press, 2009), 4. 348 Notes 10 Strategy # 1: Long-Option Approach, a Basic Solution 1 . Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE), link to “ Advisors ” and then to “ Advisor Knowledge Center ,” http://www.cboe.com/advisors/knowledge/ myth1.aspx. Bibliography A n s b a c h e r , M a x . The New Options Market. 4th ed. Hoboken, NJ: Wiley, 2000. A u g e n , J e f f . Day Trading Options . Upper Saddle River NJ: FT Press, 2010. . Trading Options at Expiration: Strategies and Models for Winning the Endgame . Upper Saddle River, NJ, FT Press, 2009. Bittman , James B . Options for the Stock Investor . New York: McGraw-Hill, 1997. Bulkowski, Thomas J., Encyclopedia of Candlestick Charts. Hoboken, NJ: Wiley, 2008 Crane, John. Advanced Swing Trading. Hoboken, NJ: Wiley, 2003 F a r l e y , A l a n S . The Master Swing Trader . New York: McGraw-Hill, 2001. K a e p p e l , J a y . The Option Traders Guide to Probability, Volatility, and Timing . Hoboken, NJ: Wiley, 2002. K y l e , S c o t t G . The Power Curve . New York: Nautilus Press, 2009. M c M i l l a n , L a w r e n c e G . Options as a Strategic Investment. 4th ed. New York: New York Institute of Finance, 2002. . Profit with Options . Hoboken, NJ: Wiley, 2002. Natenberg , Sheldon . Op tion Volatility & Pricing. New York: McGraw-Hill, 1994. Pring, Martin. Technicians Guide to Day and Swing Trading. New York: McGraw-Hill, 2003 S c h a e f f e r , B e r n i e . The Option Advisor . Hoboken, NJ: Wiley, 1997. Index Accumulation Distribution (A/D), 59 Chaikin Money Flow (CMF), 59 automatic exercise, 11 chartists, 32–33, 44 confirmation, 31, 54–59. 137–138 Bollinger Bands, 59 contrarian trading, 4, 29 breakeven return, 66–67 diversification, 8, 30–31 candlestick: double top and bottom, 12, 32, 45, 54, abandoned baby, 148–149 59, 100 basics, 53–55 Dow Theory, 33 black crows, 31, 32, 54 charting, 133–137 Eastern technical analysis, 138 confirmation, 59 ex-dividend date, 179–183, 270–271, continuation, 133, 152–163 340–341 doji, 31, 126, 130, 140–142 extrinsic value, 15 doji star, 150–153 engulfing, 31, 32, 53, 100, 138 falling range, 37 evening star, 150 Federal Reserve, 78 gap filled, 161, 163 Fibonacci Sequence, 111–115 hammer, 127, 139–140 Financial Industry Regulatory Authority hanging man, 127, 139–140 (FINRA), 96 harami, 31, 142, 143 harami cross, 142–144 head and shoulders, 44–45, 54, 100 i n neck, 155–157 herding, 27 inside patterns, 146–147 high-frequency trading (HFT), 1–2 inverted hammer, 144–146 horizontal range, 35 long-legged doji, 130, 140–142 morning star, 150 implied volatility, 15, 91–94, 165–166 on neck, 154–156 Internet, 32 outside patterns, 147–148 intrinsic, value, 14–15 reversals, 12, 133, 137–152 separating lines, 154, 156 leverage, 8, 24–25 side-by-side lines, 157–161 spinning top, 126–127, 130, 142 margin: squeeze alert, 150, 151 advantage, 79–80 tasuki gap, 161–162 calls, 78–79 thrusting lines, 153–154, 155 CBOE Margin Manual, 64, 84 white soldiers, 31, 32, 53–54 collateral, 296–297, 309
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