173x Filetype PPT File size 2.81 MB Source: personal.strath.ac.uk
Cost-benefit analysis Cost-benefit analysis, CBA, is the social appraisal of marginal investment projects, and policies, which have consequences over time It uses criteria derived from welfare economics, rather than commercial criteria. CBA seeks to correct project appraisal for market failure Environmental impacts of projects/policies are frequently externalities, both negative and positive CBA seeks to attach monetary values to external effects so that they can be taken account of along with the effects on ordinary inputs and outputs to the project/policy CBA is the same as BCA – Benefit-cost analysis. Intertemporal efficiency Given that CBA is concerned with consequences over time, and based in welfare economics, a key idea is that of intertemporal efficiency. UA UA(CA,CA) 0 1 (11.1) UB UB(CB,CB) 0 1 An allocation is efficient if it is impossible to make one individual better off without thereby making the other worse off. Intertemporal efficiency requires the satisfaction of 3 conditions Equality of individuals’ consumption discount rates Equality of rates of return to investment across firms Equality of the common consumption discount rate with the common rate of return Discount rate equality MRUS A MRUS B otherwise one could be made better off without making the other C0,c1 = C0,c1 worse off A r MRUSA 1 defines A’s consumption discount rate C0,C1 ≡ C0,C1 Then the first intertemporal efficiency condition is stated as A B r =r = r (11.2) Note: consumption discount rates are not constants. Shifting consumption over time Foregoing Cb Ca makes Ca Cb available next 0 0 1 1 period. The rate of return to, on,investment is defined as C I 1 0 I0 where ΔC1 is the second period increase in consumption, Ca Cb , 1 1 resulting from the first period increase in investment ΔI , Cb Ca . 0 0 0 For ΔI0 = ΔC0, this is ΔC ( ΔC ) ΔC ΔC ΔC δ 1 0 1 0 1 1 ΔC ΔC ΔC 0 0 0 which is the negative of the slope of the transformation frontier minus 1, which can be written 1 s where s is the slope of the frontier. Rate of return equality If each firm were investing as indicated by C 1b and C 2b, then period 1 0 0 consumption could be increased, without loss of period 0 consumption, by having firm 1, where the rate of return is higher, increase investment by the amount firm 2, where the rate of return is lower, reduced its investment. Only where rates of return are equal is this kind of period 1 gain impossible. For N firms, the second intertemporal efficiency condition is ,i1,...,N (11.3) i
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