133x Filetype PPT File size 1.57 MB Source: www.espon.eu
Methodological Overview ESPON Database Data Collection Potential Data Pre-Accession Aid Data Potential Analysis Meta Analysis Analysis of Regional Pre- Accession Aid Socio-economic impacts Relation between Potentials and Pre-Accession Aid GDP Unemployment Location Quotients (& Policy Oriented related to potentials) Typologies Quantitative Qualitative Impact Impact Analysis Analysis (case studies) Sabine Zillmer IRS Institute for Regional Development and Structural Planning Preliminary Results – Typology Macro Level • Change of relative position depends on national income levels and national performance • Above average growth and low intervention level – capital regions of Poland, Hungary, Latvia, Slovenia • Average and below average growth despite relatively high intervention level – mostly only in quite peripheral regions • No region in group of highest intervention level with clearly above average income growth Sabine Zillmer IRS Institute for Regional Development and Structural Planning Preliminary Results – Typology Meso Level • Above national average growth with low intervention level – many capital and other centrally located regions and some (Western) border regions • Below national average growth despite relatively high intervention level – fewer cases in mostly peripheral regions Pure income impacts very limited on both spatial levels Sabine Zillmer IRS Institute for Regional Development and Structural Planning Preliminary Results – Unemployment Development and EU Intervention Latvia Romania Estonia 20 1214 18 12 10 16 Latgale Sud-Est Centru 14 10 ee8 Vidzeme Bucuresti tt Riga a Laane-Eesti Kirde-Eesti era12 1999 t r at rnt 2002 ten8 1999 nme ey10 Potenziell (2002) mom 2002 yly6 op Sud-Vest Potenziell (1999) lmo Potenziell (2002) pel 1999 np86 mU Potenziell (1999) em Pohja-Eesti 2002 ne Un Exponentiell (2002) U6 4 Exponentiell (1999) 4 4 2 2 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 % regional PAA of national PAA % regional PAA of national PAA % regional PAA of national PAA Sabine Zillmer IRS Institute for Regional Development and Structural Planning Preliminary Results – Role of Potentials • Different potentials matter for income and unemployment developments to different extents Income development Unemployment development Population density Population density Active population density Active population density Sectoral employment structure Sectoral employment structure Agglomeration (size) (Accessibility) Institutional potential Institutional potential • Other influences: initial unemployment and income; region types in some cases; not observed influences Sabine Zillmer IRS Institute for Regional Development and Structural Planning
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