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INSTITUTE FOR PROSPECTIVE TECHNOLOGICAL STUDIES DIGITAL ECONOMY WORKING PAPER 2015/09 The Macro-economic Impact of e-Commerce in the EU Digital Single Market Melisande Cardona Nestor Duch-Brown Joseph Francois Bertin Martens Fan Yang 2015 The Macro-economic Impact of e-Commerce in the EU Digital Single Market This publication is a Working Paper by the Joint Research Centre of the European Commission. It results from the Digital Economy Research Programme at the JRC Institute for Prospective Technological Studies, which carries out economic research on information society and EU Digital Agenda policy issues, with a focus on growth, jobs and innovation in the Single Market. The Digital Economy Research Programme is co-financed by the Directorate General Communications Networks, Content and Technology It aims to provide evidence-based scientific support to the European policy-making process. The scientific output expressed does not imply a policy position of the European Commission. Neither the European Commission nor any person acting on behalf of the Commission is responsible for the use which might be made of this publication. JRC Science Hub https://ec.europa.eu/jrc JRC98272 ISSN 1831-9408 (online) © European Union, 2015 Reproduction is authorised provided the source is acknowledged. All images © European Union 2015 How to cite: Melisande Cardona, Nestor Duch-Brown, Joseph Francois, Bertin Martens, Fan Yang (2015). The Macro-economic Impact of e-Commerce in the EU Digital Single Market. Institute for Prospective Technological Studies Digital Economy Working Paper 2015/09. JRC98272 Table of Contents Abstract ............................................................................................................... 3 1. Introduction .............................................................................................. 4 2. Online trade in goods in the EU .................................................................... 6 3. The macro-economic model ......................................................................... 8 4. The economic impact of e-commerce retail technology ................................... 9 5. Perceived barriers to cross-border e-commerce in the EU .............................. 11 5.1 Barriers to cross-border online purchases by consumers ........................... 11 5.2 Barriers to cross-border online sales by firms .......................................... 13 6. The economic impact of removing remaining barriers ................................... 13 7. Conclusions ............................................................................................. 14 References ...................................................................................................... 17 List of Tables ................................................................................................... 19 2
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